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Red185
151151.3
317372.0
318119.3
Blue135
379919.0
301561.7
150755.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15314980100120140160180200220185135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
5Coral scored#9
24Coral points43
30Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +33
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
109Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#10
5L3#7
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +50
20Foul points0
185Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.5
71.572.0
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 10.4
61.70.0
61.761.7
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
Second
51.30.5
50.751.3
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
blue by 4.4
55.60.0
55.755.6
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
Third
3181
#11
19.30.5
18.819.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 0.3
19.00.0
19.119.0
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1