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Red141
788521.5
461176.4
151147.1
Blue92
29126.0
140549.1
319325.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389305015020014192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#6
12Processor points12
36Net points24
48Algae points36
102Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
141Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.41.1
61.362.3
Auto19.4
Teleop48.5
End8.5
red by 27.3
1405
#25
49.10.6
45.344.6
Auto9.7
Teleop31.5
End7.8
Second
47.11.1
36.737.7
Auto6.3
Teleop31.6
End9.2
red by 21.1
291
#49
26.00.8
25.224.5
Auto2.1
Teleop23.3
End0.6
Third
7885
#39
21.51.5
18.720.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.9
blue by 4.3
3193
#32
25.80.5
17.316.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed