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Red89
426936.7
822220.6
460123.3
Blue129
178763.5
405018.8
919421.5
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67965015089129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+42
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points61
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
64Total teleop83
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
2Foul points0
89Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4269
#27
36.71.4
29.931.3
Auto4.2
Teleop31.1
End1.4
blue by 26.8
63.53.3
46.850.2
Auto13.7
Teleop38.6
End11.2
Second
4601
#20
23.31.2
16.617.8
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End2.8
red by 1.8
9194
#46
21.53.0
17.820.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Third
8222
#18
20.61.3
15.016.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End7.0
red by 1.7
4050
#33
18.83.0
18.421.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned