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Red106
69573.8
954512.0
913913.5
Blue163
414564.9
395423.6
317371.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9416550150200250106163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
5Coral scored#9
24Coral points44
27Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
63Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points20
106Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#15
73.80.8
61.762.5
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
red by 2.4
71.40.5
63.162.6
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
Second
9139
#54
13.51.1
20.621.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.5
blue by 51.3
64.90.5
61.360.8
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
Third
9545
#48
12.00.9
11.011.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 11.6
3954
#42
23.60.8
19.718.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned