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Red124
618125.5
1020827.0
301560.2
Blue169
771723.4
222862.2
217234.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11798406080140160180124169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +48
15Coral scored#25
54Coral points90
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
12Processor points24
12Net points12
24Algae points36
78Total teleop126
Reef
10L4#9
3L3#8
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
124Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#22
60.20.3
66.666.9
Auto14.0
Teleop36.2
End9.9
blue by 2.1
62.25.2
47.052.2
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.0
Second
27.00.4
14.314.7
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.1
blue by 7.2
2172
#23
34.25.2
22.427.7
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Third
6181
#10
25.50.5
21.121.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End7.0
red by 2.1
7717
#50
23.47.1
18.926.0
Auto2.7
Teleop18.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned