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Red249
636987.4
170180.3
151156.1
Blue154
45858.9
940870.1
210665.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22815050100200250300249154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+63Teleop
+95Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +42
33Coral scored#21
120Coral points76
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
18Processor points24
24Net points20
42Algae points44
162Total teleop120
Reef
14L4#8
14L3#8
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#36
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +95
0Foul points0
249Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#16
87.42.5
82.184.6
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 17.2
9408
#37
70.10.4
67.668.0
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
Second
1701
#35
80.32.5
70.973.4
Auto21.3
Teleop50.6
End8.4
red by 14.5
2106
#10
65.80.4
64.064.4
Auto17.8
Teleop39.1
End8.9
Third
1511
#44
56.12.5
47.750.2
Auto7.2
Teleop37.3
End11.7
red by 47.2
4585
#70
8.90.4
5.96.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed