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Red249
198776.0
172762.4
233885.2
Blue141
580167.1
59736.3
260142.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21912050100150200250300249141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+88Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave9
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points17
57Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +57
34Coral scored#21
124Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
156Total teleop99
Reef
15L4#9
13L3#5
7L2#7
9L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#29
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
249Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#13
85.22.8
73.175.9
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
red by 18.2
5801
#51
67.10.6
62.062.6
Auto9.6
Teleop50.7
End6.7
Second
76.02.8
69.071.8
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
red by 33.6
2601
#56
42.30.6
31.231.9
Auto8.9
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Third
1727
#21
62.42.8
54.156.9
Auto8.9
Teleop41.1
End12.3
red by 26.1
597
#75
36.30.6
27.127.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned