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Red216
912643.9
478857.9
313251.0
Blue160
1166.6
1046631.5
285156.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14116950100200250300216160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+50Teleop
+46Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +39
26Coral scored#24
92Coral points85
4Processor algae#4
11Net algae#3
24Processor points24
44Net points12
68Algae points36
160Total teleop121
Reef
8L4#8
13L3#8
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
10Foul points0
216Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
#27
57.94.6
45.349.9
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
blue by 8.7
11
#39
66.60.6
61.261.8
Auto11.3
Teleop45.1
End10.2
Second
3132
#58
51.04.6
44.849.5
Auto9.6
Teleop36.7
End4.6
blue by 5.6
2851
#60
56.50.6
53.954.5
Auto7.0
Teleop48.2
End1.3
Third
9126
#64
43.94.6
41.546.1
Auto11.0
Teleop30.5
End2.4
red by 12.4
31.50.7
30.331.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned