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Red110
11740.0
521669.9
1012041.6
Blue157
414632.3
923433.7
804479.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17514350100200250110157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
18Coral scored#24
66Coral points87
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
88Total teleop119
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#9
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points2
110Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#50
69.93.3
73.470.1
Auto17.7
Teleop48.6
End3.5
blue by 9.3
79.21.0
70.971.8
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
Second
41.63.3
41.237.9
Auto6.3
Teleop31.2
End4.1
red by 8.0
9234
#61
33.71.0
32.633.6
Auto7.4
Teleop23.2
End3.1
Third
117
#48
40.03.6
39.435.7
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
red by 7.7
4146
#59
32.31.0
30.931.9
Auto5.5
Teleop24.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed