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Red177
38652.5
111481.0
318242.9
Blue241
414364.5
83671.2
440077.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188195140160180220240260177241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+38
Endgame+58
Fouls+64
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +38
23Coral scored#34
81Coral points123
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
30Processor points18
16Net points24
46Algae points42
127Total teleop165
Reef
13L4#12
8L3#13
7L2#11
3L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points6
177Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.00.7
82.681.9
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
red by 3.0
4400
#12
77.92.5
68.571.1
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
Second
386
#45
52.50.7
52.852.2
Auto10.4
Teleop34.4
End7.8
blue by 18.7
836
#20
71.22.5
59.461.9
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
Third
3182
#69
42.90.7
40.639.9
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
blue by 21.6
4143
#26
64.52.5
58.260.7
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned