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Red185
957655.0
263745.8
394080.1
Blue184
427077.2
162962.9
634059.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180216050100150250300350400185184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#10
28Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +15
27Coral scored#20
98Coral points73
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
18Processor points24
16Net points20
34Algae points44
132Total teleop117
Reef
13L4#15
11L3#6
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
185Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#30
80.10.5
72.372.8
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
red by 2.9
4270
#52
77.21.5
77.576.0
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
Second
9576
#36
55.00.5
49.449.9
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
blue by 7.9
1629
#41
62.91.5
62.661.0
Auto18.8
Teleop40.5
End3.7
Third
2637
#42
45.80.5
44.344.8
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
blue by 13.9
6340
#25
59.71.5
55.954.3
Auto10.9
Teleop39.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned