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Red269
234262.7
223184.9
119788.8
Blue141
263852.4
107662.7
439.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245151100200300350269141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+98Teleop
+128Endgame
+128Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
10Coral scored#4
52Coral points21
58Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +67
33Coral scored#22
119Coral points80
6Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
36Processor points12
20Net points16
56Algae points28
175Total teleop108
Reef
13L4#8
9L3#6
13L2#8
8L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#32
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +128
0Foul points0
269Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.82.0
80.882.8
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
red by 26.0
1076
#28
62.71.3
63.462.1
Auto15.3
Teleop45.0
End2.4
Second
2231
#46
84.92.0
82.784.8
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
red by 32.5
2638
#68
52.41.3
47.546.2
Auto9.0
Teleop35.9
End7.5
Third
2342
#43
62.72.0
61.363.3
Auto14.2
Teleop39.5
End9.0
red by 23.1
4
#62
39.61.3
35.634.3
Auto5.5
Teleop28.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed