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Red190
34190.7
348917.3
635848.9
Blue177
388029.6
175674.7
439185.6
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16920050100150250300350190177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+5
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#29
70Coral points106
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
126Total teleop134
Reef
11L4#14
7L3#5
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
18Foul points0
190Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#7
90.70.7
81.882.5
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
red by 5.1
85.60.8
82.982.1
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
Second
6358
#40
48.90.8
41.642.3
Auto8.5
Teleop37.7
End2.7
blue by 25.8
74.70.8
72.872.0
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
Third
3489
#74
17.30.7
27.027.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 12.3
3880
#73
29.60.8
21.520.8
Auto5.3
Teleop24.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned