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Red227
60489.8
551656.9
283467.0
Blue107
601423.0
945937.6
259051.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22211350150200250300350227107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+52Auto
+98Teleop
+120Endgame
+120Fouls
AutonomousRed +52
3Leave6
12Coral scored#1
62Coral points7
65Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +46
26Coral scored#18
92Coral points66
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#2
18Processor points18
28Net points8
46Algae points26
138Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#8
13L3#4
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +120
0Foul points0
227Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#9
89.81.0
86.187.0
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
red by 38.5
2590
#67
51.31.3
56.855.4
Auto8.0
Teleop35.3
End8.0
Second
2834
#19
67.01.0
65.766.7
Auto17.1
Teleop40.0
End9.9
red by 29.4
9459
#53
37.61.3
34.733.3
Auto9.1
Teleop25.4
End3.1
Third
5516
#32
56.91.0
49.750.6
Auto17.2
Teleop34.7
End5.0
red by 33.9
6014
#71
23.01.6
24.622.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed