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Red79
395122.0
151133.4
300416.7
Blue95
234020.4
222845.8
383819.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66942040801201401607995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
52Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
79Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#37
33.40.7
24.224.9
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
blue by 12.4
45.80.3
38.538.9
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
Second
3951
#22
22.00.7
20.421.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End5.1
red by 1.7
2340
#31
20.40.3
21.121.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Third
3004
#35
16.70.7
16.817.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 2.3
3838
#27
19.00.3
21.221.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned