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Red142
301565.9
559025.1
151826.0
Blue101
691129.4
53323.5
178747.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219150100150200142101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
23Coral scored#13
81Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
103Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#4
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
142Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.92.3
58.660.9
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
red by 18.9
1787
#28
47.12.0
43.745.6
Auto10.4
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Second
1518
#34
26.03.8
30.033.8
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End1.2
blue by 3.5
6911
#51
29.41.2
22.824.0
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2
Third
5590
#26
25.13.8
16.120.0
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.3
red by 1.5
533
#23
23.52.0
16.818.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned