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Red126
27124.5
317361.8
63938.5
Blue47
839322.0
130823.2
964311.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106722040608012014016012647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+57Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
15Coral scored#7
54Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
70Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
126Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.83.4
40.343.7
Auto16.4
Teleop37.0
End8.4
red by 38.7
1308
#45
23.22.7
22.219.5
Auto4.0
Teleop18.1
End1.1
Second
639
#18
38.53.4
31.234.6
Auto4.7
Teleop28.3
End5.5
red by 16.5
8393
#21
22.02.7
25.622.9
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End0.9
Third
271
#50
24.53.4
15.418.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.2
End1.7
red by 13.4
9643
#38
11.12.7
15.012.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed