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Red130
201031.2
662126.9
461161.1
Blue15
155924.2
2299.4
79033.4
93%Model gave it7%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9757020408012014016013015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+95Teleop
+97Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +78
12Coral scored#1
43Coral points5
2Processor algae#0
7Net algae#0
12Processor points0
28Net points0
40Algae points0
83Total teleop5
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +115
18Foul points0
130Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.13.5
38.241.8
Auto15.6
Teleop39.8
End5.7
red by 36.9
1559
#17
24.24.1
23.519.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Second
2010
#16
31.23.5
23.226.7
Auto6.9
Teleop21.8
End2.5
red by 21.8
229
#49
9.44.1
18.614.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
6621
#15
26.93.5
18.922.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.7
End4.1
red by 23.5
7903
#54
3.44.1
10.26.0
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed