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Red192
150748.2
34060.7
19149.0
Blue81
588115.0
112625.6
379920.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116705010015019281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+91Teleop
+111Endgame
+111Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
6Leave0
9Coral scored#2
45Coral points12
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +52
24Coral scored#13
85Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
117Total teleop65
Reef
14L4#5
9L3#4
8L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +111
0Foul points0
192Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
60.79.5
38.748.2
Auto18.1
Teleop34.7
End7.9
red by 35.1
1126
#24
25.60.9
21.822.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.6
Second
191
#6
49.09.5
26.035.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
red by 28.4
3799
#25
20.50.9
23.224.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Third
1507
#19
48.29.5
32.742.2
Auto8.6
Teleop30.7
End8.9
red by 33.3
5881
#43
15.00.9
20.221.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed