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Red95
1022320.3
151835.6
140546.2
Blue127
42436.2
301561.7
151151.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8518005010015020025030095127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+36
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
53Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#7
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
30Cage & park26
30Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
95Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.2
44.244.4
Auto9.0
Teleop30.7
End6.6
blue by 15.4
61.71.8
63.361.5
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
Second
1518
#13
35.60.2
28.028.2
Auto3.2
Teleop29.9
End2.4
blue by 15.7
51.31.8
52.750.9
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
Third
20.30.3
19.619.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End6.7
blue by 15.9
424
#7
36.21.8
38.536.6
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned