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Red118
318119.3
317372.0
19141.5
Blue56
379919.0
383820.7
493018.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17251010015020025030011856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+64Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +61
19Coral scored#7
67Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
95Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
118Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.02.2
72.770.5
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 51.3
20.71.0
16.015.0
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End6.1
Second
191
#12
41.52.2
48.446.1
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End1.6
red by 22.4
19.00.9
18.817.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Third
3181
#11
19.32.2
24.422.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 1.0
4930
#14
18.40.8
27.827.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned