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Red101
42436.2
151835.6
1022320.3
Blue117
383820.7
317372.0
379919.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85118050100150101117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+4Teleop
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
83Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
101Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#7
36.20.9
36.637.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
blue by 35.9
72.00.7
70.571.2
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
Second
1518
#13
35.60.9
28.229.1
Auto3.2
Teleop29.9
End2.4
red by 14.9
20.70.8
15.015.8
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End6.1
Third
20.31.0
19.820.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End6.7
red by 1.2
19.00.7
17.918.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned