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Red111
301561.7
112629.5
318119.3
Blue115
493018.4
19141.5
151151.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191370200300400500111115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
12Processor points6
4Net points24
16Algae points30
54Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
111Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.3
61.561.2
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
red by 10.4
51.30.6
50.950.3
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
Second
1126
#10
29.50.3
26.225.8
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End4.2
blue by 12.0
191
#12
41.50.6
46.145.5
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End1.6
Third
3181
#11
19.30.3
22.221.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 1.0
4930
#14
18.40.6
27.126.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned