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Red166
427077.2
11740.0
958322.5
Blue253
151156.1
1007957.1
233885.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14720550100250300166253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+67
Endgame+87
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave0
4Coral scored#12
21Coral points58
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +39
28Coral scored#31
102Coral points113
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
12Processor points24
16Net points32
28Algae points56
130Total teleop169
Reef
15L4#17
8L3#11
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#8
38Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points0
166Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#52
77.21.4
78.379.7
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
blue by 8.1
2338
#13
85.23.9
75.579.4
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
Second
117
#48
40.01.4
34.035.4
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
blue by 17.1
57.13.9
55.459.3
Auto17.3
Teleop37.3
End2.6
Third
9583
#65
22.51.4
21.422.8
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
blue by 33.7
1511
#44
56.13.9
52.256.1
Auto7.2
Teleop37.3
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned