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Red168
205269.7
957655.0
414632.3
Blue181
234262.7
402873.9
654855.2
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167212100150250300350168181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+21
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points31
15Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +4
29Coral scored#24
103Coral points85
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
6Processor points12
20Net points28
26Algae points40
129Total teleop125
Reef
12L4#9
9L3#9
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#39
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
168Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#38
69.70.1
69.369.4
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
blue by 4.2
4028
#11
73.91.3
75.273.9
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End6.9
Second
9576
#36
55.00.1
52.752.7
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
blue by 7.7
2342
#43
62.71.3
63.161.8
Auto14.2
Teleop39.5
End9.0
Third
4146
#59
32.30.1
34.034.1
Auto5.5
Teleop24.8
End2.0
blue by 22.9
6548
#34
55.21.3
51.349.9
Auto15.3
Teleop37.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned