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Red236
151156.1
119788.8
636987.4
Blue245
111481.0
205269.7
170180.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255248160180200220280300320236245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+19
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points49
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +2
28Coral scored#34
99Coral points123
6Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
36Processor points18
28Net points20
64Algae points38
163Total teleop161
Reef
12L4#15
10L3#14
8L2#8
4L1 · trough#7
47Game pieces#52
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
236Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.80.1
89.489.5
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
red by 7.8
81.00.3
80.680.9
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
Second
6369
#16
87.40.1
88.088.1
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 7.1
1701
#35
80.30.3
79.980.3
Auto21.3
Teleop50.6
End8.4
Third
1511
#44
56.10.1
56.156.1
Auto7.2
Teleop37.3
End11.7
blue by 13.6
2052
#38
69.70.3
69.369.7
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3