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Red248
440077.9
83671.2
60489.8
Blue231
173281.7
175674.7
414364.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253236200300350248231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
14Coral scored#9
69Coral points45
69Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +7
30Coral scored#28
107Coral points102
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
18Processor points18
20Net points32
38Algae points50
145Total teleop152
Reef
20L4#15
12L3#10
7L2#9
5L1 · trough#3
52Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +17
8Foul points2
248Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#9
89.80.1
89.189.2
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
red by 8.1
1732
#23
81.70.2
81.581.7
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
Second
4400
#12
77.90.1
77.277.3
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
red by 3.2
74.70.2
74.574.7
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
Third
836
#20
71.20.1
70.570.6
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
red by 6.7
4143
#26
64.50.2
64.364.5
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3