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Red237
98783.6
198776.0
376772.0
Blue213
580167.1
119788.8
636987.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242258200300350237213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
10Coral scored#11
49Coral points55
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +14
30Coral scored#31
107Coral points111
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
153Total teleop139
Reef
13L4#12
8L3#12
11L2#10
8L1 · trough#8
50Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
237Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#14
83.60.2
82.883.0
Auto22.8
Teleop52.6
End8.2
blue by 5.2
88.80.7
89.588.8
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
Second
76.00.2
75.375.4
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
blue by 11.4
6369
#16
87.40.7
88.187.4
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
Third
3767
#31
72.00.2
71.371.5
Auto16.2
Teleop48.1
End7.8
red by 5.0
5801
#51
67.10.7
67.867.1
Auto9.6
Teleop50.7
End6.7