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Red267
804479.2
394080.1
2481103.1
Blue253
439185.6
223184.9
233885.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271272250260280290300310267253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points52
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +11
34Coral scored#30
124Coral points109
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#9
24Processor points24
32Net points36
56Algae points60
180Total teleop169
Reef
17L4#20
8L3#7
10L2#5
7L1 · trough#8
54Game pieces#53
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
267Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.10.1
102.8102.9
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 17.4
85.60.1
86.286.1
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
Second
3940
#30
80.10.1
79.879.9
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
blue by 5.1
2338
#13
85.20.1
85.885.7
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
Third
79.20.1
78.979.0
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
blue by 5.7
2231
#46
84.90.1
85.585.4
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4