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Red139
225249.7
301560.2
348420.5
Blue149
151147.1
69573.8
919421.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13311180100120140160180139149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +11
23Coral scored#18
82Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
104Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#12
8L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
139Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#22
60.20.7
65.966.6
Auto14.0
Teleop36.2
End9.9
blue by 13.6
695
#15
73.83.2
58.561.7
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
Second
2252
#14
49.70.7
42.843.5
Auto9.6
Teleop34.2
End5.8
red by 2.6
47.13.2
33.436.7
Auto6.3
Teleop31.6
End9.2
Third
3484
#56
20.50.9
14.315.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 1.0
9194
#46
21.53.2
14.617.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned