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Red173
293549.1
111481.0
151156.1
Blue145
923433.7
478857.9
957655.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21916050100200250300350173145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points64
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
108Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#8
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
173Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.02.5
83.180.6
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
red by 23.0
4788
#27
57.91.1
59.057.9
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
Second
1511
#44
56.12.5
58.656.1
Auto7.2
Teleop37.3
End11.7
red by 1.1
9576
#36
55.01.1
56.155.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
Third
2935
#66
49.12.5
51.649.1
Auto10.3
Teleop34.6
End4.2
red by 15.5
9234
#61
33.71.1
34.733.7
Auto7.4
Teleop23.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned