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Red260
580167.1
414364.5
439185.6
Blue283
173281.7
427077.2
98783.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230257100150200300350400260283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points31
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
43Coral scored#36
153Coral points128
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#14
24Processor points24
32Net points56
56Algae points80
209Total teleop208
Reef
17L4#14
11L3#14
9L2#7
10L1 · trough#7
59Game pieces#60
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points2
260Total score283

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.61.0
85.586.5
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
red by 2.0
987
#14
83.61.5
81.182.6
Auto22.8
Teleop52.6
End8.2
Second
5801
#51
67.11.0
66.767.8
Auto9.6
Teleop50.7
End6.7
blue by 14.7
1732
#23
81.71.5
80.181.5
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
Third
4143
#26
64.51.0
63.364.3
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
blue by 12.7
4270
#52
77.21.5
76.477.8
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned