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Red193
301565.9
151826.0
317361.8
Blue121
19149.0
151133.4
159143.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16713080100120140180200220193121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+40Teleop
+58Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +54
24Coral scored#16
86Coral points56
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
24Processor points12
20Net points8
44Algae points20
130Total teleop76
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#7
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#27
BargeRed +18
26Cage & park8
26Total endgame8
Penalties & totalRed +72
14Foul points0
193Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.6
65.165.7
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
red by 16.9
191
#6
49.00.1
48.248.1
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
Second
61.80.8
60.861.6
Auto16.4
Teleop37.0
End8.4
red by 18.4
1591
#32
43.50.1
42.742.6
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
Third
1518
#34
26.00.8
24.925.7
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End1.2
blue by 7.5
1511
#37
33.40.1
32.632.6
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3