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Red131
300337.6
2045.5
178747.1
Blue106
150748.2
662126.9
140545.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212680100120140160180131106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
89Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
131Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#28
47.10.1
46.046.1
Auto10.4
Teleop29.1
End7.6
blue by 1.2
1507
#19
48.20.5
48.748.2
Auto8.6
Teleop30.7
End8.9
Second
20
#9
45.50.1
44.544.6
Auto5.2
Teleop32.5
End7.7
red by 0.2
45.30.5
45.745.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.0
Third
3003
#14
37.60.1
36.636.7
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.7
red by 10.7
6621
#15
26.90.5
27.426.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.7
End4.1