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Red130
225241.1
686836.4
261444.4
Blue136
63938.5
222845.8
304448.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137138110120130150160170180130136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+40
Endgame+42
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
14Coral scored#20
51Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
61Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +6
36Foul points0
130Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#12
44.40.9
45.344.4
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End4.8
blue by 4.0
3044
#11
48.50.4
45.645.9
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
Second
2252
#33
41.11.0
42.041.1
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.7
blue by 4.7
45.80.4
42.943.2
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
Third
6868
#20
36.41.0
37.436.4
Auto5.3
Teleop29.4
End1.8
blue by 2.1
639
#18
38.50.4
35.435.8
Auto4.7
Teleop28.3
End5.5