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Red204
42438.4
69558.5
201031.2
Blue163
150748.2
662126.9
140545.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13312380100140160180200204163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+17Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points83
5Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
30Processor points6
28Net points12
58Algae points18
125Total teleop101
Reef
10L4#10
5L3#7
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +41
30Foul points6
204Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#10
58.51.4
57.759.1
Auto13.3
Teleop42.1
End3.1
red by 10.3
1507
#19
48.21.0
47.648.7
Auto8.6
Teleop30.7
End8.9
Second
424
#5
38.41.4
37.739.0
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
blue by 6.8
45.31.0
44.745.7
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.0
Third
2010
#16
31.21.5
30.431.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.8
End2.5
red by 4.3
6621
#15
26.91.0
26.427.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.7
End4.1