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Red174
691129.4
34060.7
461161.1
Blue97
42438.4
69558.5
201031.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531378010012016018020022017497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+53Teleop
+75Endgame
+77Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +53
21Coral scored#10
76Coral points37
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#2
12Processor points18
28Net points8
40Algae points26
116Total teleop63
Reef
12L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +77
2Foul points0
174Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.9
57.658.5
Auto15.6
Teleop39.8
End5.7
red by 2.6
695
#10
58.51.0
59.158.1
Auto13.3
Teleop42.1
End3.1
Second
340
#2
60.70.9
57.158.0
Auto18.1
Teleop34.7
End7.9
red by 22.2
424
#5
38.41.0
39.038.0
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
Third
6911
#51
29.40.7
26.827.5
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2
blue by 1.8
2010
#16
31.21.1
31.830.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.8
End2.5