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Red102
151133.4
57813.6
140545.3
Blue109
178747.1
317121.3
839322.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96102406080120140160102109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+21
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
70Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
102Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.32.0
38.340.2
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.0
blue by 1.8
1787
#28
47.12.0
48.450.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Second
1511
#37
33.42.0
31.933.9
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
red by 11.4
8393
#21
22.02.0
21.523.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End0.9
Third
578
#46
13.62.0
14.216.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 7.7
3171
#44
21.32.0
20.822.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed