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Red121
37835.4
964311.1
317361.8
Blue60
814012.5
19149.0
662126.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10996608012014016018012160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
36Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
63Total teleop26
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
18Cage & park16
18Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
4Foul points2
121Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.82.4
53.455.8
Auto16.4
Teleop37.0
End8.4
red by 12.9
191
#6
49.03.4
44.841.4
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
Second
378
#29
35.42.4
32.935.2
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End2.9
red by 8.4
6621
#15
26.93.4
22.318.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.7
End4.1
Third
9643
#38
11.12.4
9.511.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End1.4
blue by 1.4
8140
#36
12.53.4
21.618.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned