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Red112
150753.0
559015.5
151148.6
Blue105
159149.7
57820.3
112627.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13995050150200112105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
79Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
112Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.1
52.151.0
Auto10.5
Teleop35.0
End7.6
red by 3.3
49.70.4
45.045.3
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
Second
48.61.1
48.547.4
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End8.7
red by 21.6
1126
#13
27.00.4
25.726.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End5.8
Third
5590
#28
15.51.1
16.615.5
Auto3.0
Teleop11.1
End1.3
blue by 4.8
578
#27
20.30.4
20.020.4
Auto1.9
Teleop18.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed