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Red70
686830.2
205327.1
999115.8
Blue101
300336.3
379917.8
140546.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7711005010015020070101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
45Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
70Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6868
#14
30.20.1
29.229.1
Auto5.0
Teleop24.2
End1.0
blue by 15.8
1405
#22
46.00.3
42.242.5
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End6.0
Second
2053
#17
27.10.1
28.828.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
blue by 9.2
3003
#15
36.30.3
37.537.8
Auto7.4
Teleop21.7
End7.2
Third
9991
#26
15.80.2
14.113.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End0.8
blue by 2.0
3799
#23
17.80.3
16.917.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned