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Red66
1022321.8
222854.7
63930.3
Blue120
155925.6
34061.1
234014.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122115608010014016066120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+36
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points32
16Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +20
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
44Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
66Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.72.9
53.750.8
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
blue by 6.4
340
#5
61.11.2
60.461.6
Auto16.5
Teleop36.9
End7.6
Second
639
#25
30.32.9
33.030.0
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End4.1
red by 4.7
1559
#11
25.61.2
23.724.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End5.3
Third
21.82.9
20.517.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.4
red by 7.2
2340
#21
14.61.2
15.016.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned