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Red216
37834.6
19145.7
317374.0
Blue167
159149.7
395117.6
42437.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16210350150200250216167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+27Teleop
+19Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave6
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points24
46Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +11
23Coral scored#20
84Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
116Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#10
10L3#7
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
18Cage & park26
18Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
36Foul points6
216Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.01.7
68.169.8
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 24.3
49.73.3
45.348.6
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
Second
191
#7
45.71.7
40.141.8
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
red by 8.6
424
#12
37.13.3
35.538.8
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End4.8
Third
378
#16
34.61.7
29.030.7
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5
red by 17.0
3951
#20
17.63.3
14.918.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned