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Red68
205327.1
300336.3
99979.7
Blue56
57820.3
379917.8
559015.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915702040801001201401606856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points4
68Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#15
36.30.6
37.837.1
Auto7.4
Teleop21.7
End7.2
red by 16.0
578
#27
20.30.1
20.420.3
Auto1.9
Teleop18.4
End-0.1
Second
2053
#17
27.10.6
28.728.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
red by 9.3
3799
#23
17.80.1
17.217.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Third
9997
#24
9.71.0
10.89.7
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5590
#28
15.50.1
15.515.5
Auto3.0
Teleop11.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed