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Red147
493019.4
112627.0
150753.0
Blue107
318121.6
686830.2
301561.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212550150200147107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points27
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
86Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#22
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
8Foul points8
147Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.02.6
51.053.6
Auto10.5
Teleop35.0
End7.6
blue by 7.9
61.01.2
58.056.8
Auto18.3
Teleop36.8
End5.9
Second
1126
#13
27.02.6
26.128.7
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End5.8
blue by 3.2
6868
#14
30.21.2
29.127.9
Auto5.0
Teleop24.2
End1.0
Third
4930
#19
19.42.6
14.617.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.2
End0.7
blue by 2.2
21.61.2
22.220.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed