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Red153
151148.6
151826.6
159149.7
Blue104
140546.0
999115.8
63930.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14188050100200153104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +37
22Coral scored#13
78Coral points47
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
112Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#4
9L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
18Cage & park6
18Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
153Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.72.1
48.650.7
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
red by 3.7
1405
#22
46.01.2
42.543.7
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End6.0
Second
48.62.1
47.449.5
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End8.7
red by 18.2
639
#25
30.31.2
30.031.2
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Third
1518
#10
26.62.1
25.327.5
Auto2.5
Teleop21.5
End2.6
red by 10.8
9991
#26
15.82.0
13.915.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed