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Red206
301561.0
1022321.8
317374.0
Blue148
493019.4
686830.2
140546.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17088050100150200250206148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+36Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points31
51Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +16
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points57
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
24Processor points18
28Net points28
52Algae points46
119Total teleop103
Reef
12L4#9
9L3#7
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
206Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.01.4
69.871.2
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 28.0
1405
#22
46.01.3
43.745.0
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End6.0
Second
61.01.4
56.858.2
Auto18.3
Teleop36.8
End5.9
red by 30.8
6868
#14
30.21.3
27.929.2
Auto5.0
Teleop24.2
End1.0
Third
21.81.4
17.619.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.4
red by 2.3
4930
#19
19.41.3
17.118.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.2
End0.7