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Red152
222854.7
37834.6
19145.7
Blue83
155925.6
318121.6
379917.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1546305010020015283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+61Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
108Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#6
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
152Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.2
50.851.0
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
red by 29.1
1559
#11
25.60.1
24.925.0
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End5.3
Second
191
#7
45.70.2
41.842.0
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
red by 24.1
21.60.1
20.921.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Third
378
#16
34.60.2
30.731.0
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5
red by 16.8
3799
#23
17.80.1
17.117.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End4.4