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Red169
63938.5
222845.8
304448.5
Blue110
19149.0
151133.4
159143.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136139100120160180200169110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+45Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +42
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points52
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#4
24Processor points12
36Net points16
60Algae points28
122Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#5
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#24
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
169Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#11
48.51.3
46.447.6
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
blue by 0.5
191
#6
49.00.5
49.549.0
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
Second
45.81.3
43.745.0
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
red by 2.3
1591
#32
43.50.5
44.043.5
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
Third
639
#18
38.51.4
36.337.6
Auto4.7
Teleop28.3
End5.5
red by 5.1
1511
#37
33.40.5
33.933.4
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3