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Red117
824333.2
151147.1
541326.0
Blue163
460123.3
317371.4
260344.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112149050100200250117163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points30
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +30
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points76
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
84Total teleop114
Reef
6L4#12
7L3#9
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
117Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.3
41.041.3
Auto6.3
Teleop31.6
End9.2
blue by 24.3
71.42.0
67.769.7
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
Second
8243
#21
33.20.3
32.733.1
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End3.3
blue by 11.5
2603
#16
44.62.0
37.939.8
Auto8.6
Teleop28.1
End7.9
Third
5413
#40
26.00.3
26.927.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End6.2
red by 2.7
4601
#20
23.32.0
19.020.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned